A new normal It's undeniable that the real estate market has been through a very abnormal period since the pandemic started. The graph below shows the % change in pending sales every month from Jan 2018 to Aug 2022. You see a big dip in April of 2020 when the stay-at-home order was implemented. You also see the pending sales dwindling as the interest rate started to rise in 2022. The Bay Area...
July is the first month in the recent ten years when all counties median home prices dropped compared to the previous month. In June's data, Solano was the only one that managed to maintain a 1.5% gain Is the economy in recession? The technical answer is yes. It's a widely accepted standard that when the GPD shrinks for two consecutive quarters, it's considered a recession. Why? Why? The answer has...
by Lex Shan The tide is turning. It's becoming more apparent that the seller's market will turn into a buyer's market for the foreseeable months in 2022. June is the 2nd consecutive month where month-over-month sale prices dropped across almost all counties in the bay area. As more media coverage about the home price dropping, more sellers will go into this panic mode and want to put their homes on the...
by Lex Shan Let's quickly go over April's monthly data. Home prices continue to go up as the Spring real estate season kicks into full gear. San Mateo County, as usual, continues to lead the price scoreboard. On the other hand, Marin County had the highest percentage increase compared to the previous year. In the last month's post, we explained that the effect of the interest rate jump will not show up in the...
There isn't a whole lot of change to the real estate market in the past month. The trend of prices going up continue from last month's trend. Mortgage Demand This month, one of the biggest news is 30-year fixed mortgage interest rate broke 5% for the first time since 2011. Many of our clients are wondering how this is going to impact the demand for real estate. To answer this question, I'd like to...
by Lex Shan Is a Spring collapse coming? As Russia's invasion into Ukraine continued, money flew into the US stock money just as our last month's blog post predicted. This inflow gave temporary support to the stock market. Looking at February 2022's market data, we can see that the % of sales dropped pretty much across all the Bay Area counties. Many youtube videos (here and there, for example) have concluded...
by Lex Shan Impact Of The Ukraine Crisis Since Russian forces invaded Ukraine, all eyes around the globe are on this country. Attention is also on how the US will respond to the crisis. Just as most predicted, the US will not have military confrontation with Russia. Instead, the US will only impose the toughest sanctions. As a reader of this post, you must wonder how this conflict is going to impact the US real...
The December 2021 housing data may seem alarming at first glance. Month-on-month price and sales volumes changes are both negative, while year-to-year sales even recorded a 10% to 51% decrease in most counties. Are the Bay Area Real Estate Buyers withdrawing from the market? Fortunately, the answer is no. The decrease in sales volume is driven by a lack of inventory. In December 2020, there...
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